The U.S. in a Debt Trap, the Dollar Losing Strength

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The newsletter presents a review of financial news, investment trends, and other financial insights, offering a valuable overview of the information you need to manage your finances in all economic conditions.

 

Geopolitical tensions, inflation, and exploding debt pressure the U.S. economy

The U.S. economy is facing an increasingly unstable environment, marked by escalating geopolitical tensions, high inflation, surging public debt, and uncertain monetary policy. Tensions intensified following President Trump’s military strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, raising global risks and presenting new dilemmas for the Federal Reserve. While GDP growth has been revised down to 1.4% and inflation stands at 3%, the Fed remains divided on next steps. Despite market expectations for rate cuts by September, the Fed is holding back, waiting to assess the impact of tariffs. U.S. national debt has surpassed $37 trillion, with projections suggesting it could reach $59 trillion by 2034. At the same time, the federal deficit is projected to rise to 9% of GDP—a level historically seen only during wars or severe crises. These uncertainties are pushing investors to seek safe-haven assets once again.

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Gold as the ultimate safe haven in a world of eroding trust

With growing global uncertainty, a weakening dollar, and aggressive fiscal policies, central banks are increasingly turning to gold. According to the World Gold Council (WGC), 95% of central banks expect global gold reserves to rise, 43% plan to increase their own holdings, and most anticipate reducing exposure to the U.S. dollar over the next five years.

 

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Gold’s performance since 2000 is particularly notable—it has outperformed the S&P 500 index in terms of annual returns, challenging the popular belief in the long-term supremacy of stocks. This year alone, gold has gained 28% in dollar terms—one of its strongest years since 1979—fueled by central bank demand and geopolitical pressures.

 

Silver and platinum – overlooked hedges with high potential

Alongside gold, silver and platinum are gaining traction as powerful inflation hedges amid economic uncertainty and disrupted supply chains. Platinum prices have surged in recent months, surpassing their 2021 highs and reaching levels unseen since 2014. This growth is driven by a third consecutive year of supply deficit, strong industrial demand (especially from the automotive sector), and rising interest from institutional investors.


Silver presents an even more compelling story. We are approaching the fifth consecutive year where global silver production will fall short of demand, adding upward pressure on future prices. Due to its cyclical nature and historical correlation with recessions, silver is a critical component of long-term defensive portfolios. In a world of mounting global shocks, both silver and platinum serve as valuable diversification tools and strategic complements to gold.

 


The newsletter “Financial Insight and Highlights” does not constitute an investment advisory service. Its content does not represent purchase recommendations or offers, but is intended to inform the public about developments in the financial sector. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Please consult a financial advisor for personalized advice.

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